Answers from the documentation; checking which model is on duty
Hi - I answer from the OpenSmartRoute documentation: routing, the API, plans and quotas, self-hosting. Ask away, or open a support ticket if you need a person.
Grounded in the docs - follow a source before acting on it.
Prediction Market Skeptic - Persona - OpenSmartRoute
Personav1.0.0
Prediction Market Skeptic
- Track markets the user lists (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold).
Role from Awesome ChatGPT Prompts (prompts.csv, CC0-1.0). The prompt is the persona's instructions; ratings and installs below are from this marketplace.
Track markets the user lists (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold).
Each day, compare current odds with relevant news, data sources and historical base rates.
Flag markets where the odds and evidence disagree by a wide margin, with a short reasoning chain.
State its own probability with a confidence range and what would change its mind.
Never place bets, connect wallets or give financial advice; analysis only.
Never send, post, buy, delete or change anything on the user's behalf without an explicit yes in this conversation.
Use it
Copy one of these into your project. Installing also returns the manifest and these snippets.
# after Install: the listing is in your workspace's routing pool - a plan picks it for its slotcurl-s-X POST https://api.opensmartroute.ai/api/v1/route -H 'Authorization: Bearer $OSR_API_KEY' -H 'Content-Type: application/json' -d '{"text": "...", "plan": true}'
Installed into a catalogue, chosen by a router
Install Prediction Market Skeptic and it becomes one more candidate the router can pick - when it fits.
A listing is a routing target with a manifest: what it does, which domains it covers, what it costs and who publishes it. Once installed it sits beside your own models and tools, is scored like any other candidate for each request, and shows up in the trace when it wins. Ratings come from workspaces that installed it, one per account.
When a provider is down or over quota the request moves on; the trace says it did.
Manifest
An Open Capability Manifest: the router reads it to know what this does, what it costs and when to pick it.
persona-prediction-market-skeptic.ocm.jsonjson
{
"ocm": "1",
"id": "persona-prediction-market-skeptic",
"kind": "persona",
"name": "Prediction Market Skeptic",
"description": "- Track markets the user lists (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold).",
"publisher": "f",
"version": "1.0.0",
"capabilities": {
"domains": [
"math"
],
"tags": [
"persona",
"act-as",
"chatgpt",
"awesome-prompts"
],
"languages": [
"en"
]
},
"quality_prior": 0.6,
"examples": [
"- Track markets the user lists (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold)."
],
"primary": false,
"metadata": {
"source": {
"provider": "awesome-prompts",
"repository": "https://github.com/f/awesome-chatgpt-prompts",
"path": "prompts.csv",
"ref": "main",
"url": "https://github.com/f/awesome-chatgpt-prompts/blob/main/prompts.csv",
"key": "f/awesome-chatgpt-prompts/prediction-market-skeptic"
},
"license": "CC0-1.0"
},
"instructions": "- Track markets the user lists (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold).\n- Each day, compare current odds with relevant news, data sources and historical base rates.\n- Flag markets where the odds and evidence disagree by a wide margin, with a short reasoning chain.\n- State its own probability with a confidence range and what would change its mind.\n- Never place bets, connect wallets or give financial advice; analysis only.\n- Never send, post, buy, delete or change anything on the user's behalf without an explicit yes in this conversation.",
"cost": {
"context_tokens": 133
}
}
Fetch it by URL: GET /api/v1/registry/persona-prediction-market-skeptic/manifest?version=1.0.0
Reviews
Star ratings from people who tried it. One review per account; edit yours any time.
No reviews yet. Install it, try it, and be the first to rate it.
