Imported from like-a-freedom/agentic_sports_coach (.github/skills/race-strategy/SKILL.md). Install upstream with npx skills add like-a-freedom/agentic_sports_coach --skill race-strategy. Copyright stays with the author.

Race Strategy

When to use this skill

Use this skill when the request involves:

• Planning race-day pacing strategy for upcoming events
• Aid station tactics and efficiency protocols
• Mental strategies for managing ultra-distance challenges
• Gear setup and drop bag planning for races
• Contingency planning (blisters, GI issues, getting lost, DNF decisions)
• Pre-race logistics (race week protocol, course reconnaissance)
• Post-race debriefing and tactical analysis

Core principle: "Train hard, race smart"

Philosophy: Tactical errors cost more races than fitness limitations. A well-prepared athlete with poor tactics will underperform; an adequately prepared athlete with excellent tactics often exceeds expectations.

Evidence base: Ultrarunning Training Essentials (Koop, 2nd Ed.), Training for Uphill Athlete (House, Jornet, Johnston)

Pacing Protocols

Fundamental pacing strategies

Even pacing (recommended for most ultra runners):

• Maintain consistent effort (not speed!) throughout race
• Measured by HR or RPE, not pace/speed
• Best for: First-time distance attempts, conservative goal setting
• Evidence: Minimizes glycogen depletion, reduces risk of bonking

Positive split (start faster, slow down):

• Banking time early when fresh
• Risk: Depleting glycogen too early, "blowing up"
• Use cases: Very experienced, known course, aggressive time goals
• Warning: 80% of ultra runners who positive split regret it at mile 60+

Negative split (start slower, speed up):

• Conservative early, aggressive late
• Lower risk of bonking
• Best for: New to distance, challenging course, hot conditions
• Challenge: Requires discipline to hold back when feeling good

HR-based vs RPE-based pacing

Heart Rate (HR) based:

• Early race (first 25-30%): Stay below AeT (e.g., if AeT=160 bpm, cap at 155-158 bpm)
• Mid race (30-70%): Allow drift to AeT+5 bpm on climbs, return to AeT on flats/descents
• Late race (70%+): HR often decouples; switch to RPE
• Advantages: Objective, prevents over-exertion early
• Limitations: Heat/altitude/fatigue cause HR drift; less reliable late race

Rate of Perceived Exertion (RPE) based:

• Early race: RPE 3-4/10 ("could talk in full sentences easily")
• Mid race: RPE 4-6/10 ("conversational but requires focus")
• Late race: RPE 6-8/10 ("can speak 3-5 words at a time")
• Advantages: Works throughout race, accounts for fatigue/conditions
• Limitations: Requires experience to calibrate

Hybrid approach (recommended):

• Early race: Use HR to prevent overexertion
• Late race: Switch to RPE when HR decouples
• Crosscheck: If RPE feels much higher than HR suggests, slow down (fatigue/heat/altitude)

Terrain-based pacing adjustments

Uphills:

• Steep (>10% grade): Power hike if hiking pace = running pace
• Moderate (5-10% grade): Run if you can maintain conversational breathing
• Gentle (<5% grade): Run, but don't force pace
• Rule: If breathing becomes labored on uphill, slow down or hike
• Poles: Use on sustained climbs >5% grade to reduce quad load

Downhills:

• Steep (>10% grade): Control speed, use short steps, land midfoot
• Moderate (5-10% grade): Let gravity assist, but don't overstride
• Gentle (<5% grade): Run naturally, slight increase in pace acceptable
• Warning: Quad damage accumulates; downhill speed in first 30% of race = quad death in last 30%
• Eccentric loading: If quads burn on downhill, slow immediately (damage is progressive)

Flats:

• Opportunity to "bank time" without excessive cost
• Keep effort steady (RPE 4-6/10)
• Focus on efficiency: cadence 160-180 spm, relaxed shoulders

Distance-specific pacing

50K (3-6 hours):

• First 25K: Conservative (HR <AeT, RPE 3-4/10)
• Middle 15K: Steady (HR ~AeT, RPE 4-6/10)
• Final 10K: Push if feeling good (RPE 6-8/10)
• Aid station time: 1-2 min max per stop

100K (8-14 hours):

• First 40K: Very conservative (HR <AeT, RPE 3-4/10)
• Middle 40K: Steady (HR ~AeT, RPE 4-6/10), allow HR drift on climbs
• Final 20K: Survival mode (RPE varies, focus on forward progress)
• Aid station time: 2-5 min per stop, longer if needed for recovery

100 miles (20-30 hours):

• First 50 miles: Extremely conservative (HR well below AeT, RPE 2-4/10), "this feels too easy"
• Mile 50-80: Steady grind (HR often decoupled, RPE 5-7/10), manage fatigue
• Mile 80-100: Mental game (RPE 7-9/10), celebrate each mile
• Aid station time: 5-10 min acceptable if needed, efficiency still matters
• Night sections: Slow down 10-15% (reduced visibility, fatigue)

Aid Station Strategy

Time management protocol

Efficiency rule: Every minute at aid station = ~3 minutes of moving time to make up

• Example: 5-min stop vs 2-min stop = 9 minutes lost on course

Target times by distance:

• 50K: 1-2 min per stop (quick fuel, water, go)
• 100K: 2-5 min per stop (fuel, check feet if needed, recover slightly)
• 100 miles: 3-10 min per stop (fuel, recover, address issues), longer at crew-accessible points

In/out protocol:

1. Approach (100m before): Decide what you need (water? food? gear change?)
2. Arrival: State needs clearly to volunteers ("Fill both bottles, 3 gels, pretzels")
3. Execute: While bottles fill, grab food, eat immediately
4. Depart: Check you have everything, thank volunteers, GO

What to do at each aid station

Standard stops (no crew):

• Refill hydration (both bottles/bladder)
• Grab quick CHO (gels, bars, real food if tolerated)
• Eat/drink WHILE at station (don't leave with food in hand to "eat later")
• Quick body scan: feet ok? Chafing? Blisters forming?

Crew-accessible stops:

• All of above PLUS:
• Change socks if wet/hot spots detected
• Apply lube to chafing areas
• Change layers if weather changed
• Restock personal nutrition from drop bag
• Crew protocol: Crew should have gear ready, minimize talking, 5-min max

Major stops (e.g., halfway, mile 60):

• More time acceptable (5-10 min)
• Sit if needed (but set timer!)
• Address issues: blisters, tape hot spots, change clothes
• Eat real food if appetite allows (soup, potatoes, broth)
• Mental reset: "I'm starting a new race from here"

Drop bag planning

What to include in drop bags:

• Nutrition: Extra gels/bars you like (aid station may run out)
• Hydration: Electrolyte tablets, spare bottle if worried about loss
• Clothing: Extra layers (jacket, gloves, hat) + rain gear
• Foot care: Spare socks, blister kit (tape, needle, lube)
• Lighting: Spare batteries/headlamp, vest light
• Emergency: Ibuprofen (use sparingly!), duct tape, safety pins
• Mental: Motivational note to yourself, photo of family/goal

Drop bag locations (prioritize):

• Halfway point (critical for gear swap, nutrition restock)
• Before night section (lighting check, warm clothes)
• Before final push (mental reset items, fresh socks)

Label clearly: "Your Name - Drop Bag Mile X - [Race Name] 2026"

Mental Strategies

Race segmentation

Break race into manageable chunks:

• 50K: Think in 10K segments (5 segments)
• 100K: Think in 20K segments (5 segments) or aid-station-to-aid-station
• 100 miles: Think in 25-mile segments (quarters) or "sunrise to sunset"

Psychological trick: "I'm just running to the next aid station" (not "I have 60 miles to go")

Managing dark moments

Expect dark moments at predictable times:

• Mile 30-40 (50K): Post-glycogen-depletion dip, often around 4-5h mark
• Mile 50-65 (100K/100mi): Physical fatigue accumulating, night approaching
• Mile 80-90 (100mi): Sleep deprivation, accumulated damage, "why am I doing this?"

Dark moment protocol:

1. Acknowledge: "This is normal, expected, temporary"
2. Physical check: Eat, drink, check pace (am I going too hard?)
3. Mental reset: Break race into smaller segment ("just get to next aid station")
4. Positive self-talk: "I've trained for this, I can handle this"
5. Time limit: Give it 20-30 minutes; if still dark, reassess

When dark moment lifts (it usually does): Celebrate mentally, but don't surge pace

Positive self-talk protocols

Mantras to use:

• "Relentless forward progress" (common ultra mantra)
• "One step at a time" (when feeling overwhelmed)
• "I've done harder things" (reference training or life challenges)
• "This is temporary" (pain is transient)
• Custom mantra (choose in training, use in race)

Avoid negative self-talk:

• ❌ "I'm not good enough" → ✅ "I'm doing my best"
• ❌ "I can't do this" → ✅ "I'm still moving forward"
• ❌ "This is too hard" → ✅ "This is supposed to be hard"

DNF (Did Not Finish) decision framework

When to DNF (prioritize safety):

1. Medical emergency: Severe dehydration, hyponatremia, heat stroke, injury requiring medical attention
2. Time cutoffs: If mathematically impossible to finish within cutoff, save yourself for another day
3. Severe injury: Continuing would cause long-term damage (stress fracture, severe sprain)

When NOT to DNF (push through):

• General discomfort (this is ultra running!)
• Dark moment (these pass)
• Blisters (manageable with tape)
• Fatigue (if you can still move forward, keep going)
• "I'm slower than I wanted" (adjust goals, finish the race)

Decision protocol:

1. Sit at aid station, eat/drink, address immediate issue
2. Give yourself 10-20 minutes to reassess
3. Ask: "Is this dangerous to my long-term health?" If yes → DNF. If no → continue.
4. If DNF: Accept decision, don't dwell, learn for next time

Gear Setup

Mandatory gear (check race requirements)

Typical mandatory items:

• Hydration (minimum capacity specified, e.g., 1L)
• Nutrition (minimum calories, e.g., 500 cal)
• Lighting (headlamp + backup, specific lumens)
• Emergency (whistle, space blanket, first aid)
• Navigation (map, GPS, phone)
• Clothing (jacket, extra layer)

Verify before race: Read race rules, check gear list multiple times

Optional gear (personal preference)

Poles (trekking poles):

• Use if: Course has >1500m vertical per 50K, steep sustained climbs
• Don't use if: Mostly runnable, flats, or you haven't trained with them
• Technique: Use on uphills (push off to assist legs), collapse/carry on flats/downhills

Hydration system:

• Vest with soft flasks: Most popular, easy access, can see fluid level
• Hydration bladder: Hands-free, but harder to monitor intake, cleaning tedious
• Handheld bottles: Simple, but annoying on technical terrain
• Recommendation: Train with what you'll race with (minimum 3 long runs with gear)

Clothing layers (temperature-dependent):

• Hot (>25°C): Lightweight shorts, singlet/shirt, hat with brim, sunglasses
• Moderate (15-25°C): Shorts, short-sleeve shirt, hat, arm sleeves (optional)
• Cold (<15°C): Tights/pants, long-sleeve shirt, gloves, hat/buff
• Rain: Lightweight waterproof jacket (pack even if forecast is clear)

Lighting:

• Headlamp: Minimum 200 lumens (300-500 better), spare batteries
• Vest light: Front-mounted (chest) + rear light for visibility
• Test before race: Run in dark with exact setup to verify comfort/brightness

Foot care

Sock strategy:

• Single sock: Most common, less friction if fit is good
• Double socks: Thin liner + thicker outer (reduces blister risk for some)
• Change schedule: Every 25-50K or when wet (sweat/stream crossings)

Blister prevention:

• Pre-tape hot spots (heels, toes) with Leukotape before race
• Lube (Body Glide, Vaseline) on common friction areas
• If hot spot develops: Stop immediately, tape BEFORE blister forms

Shoe choice:

• Use shoes with 50-100km of training miles (broken in but not worn out)
• Match shoe to terrain: more cushion for rocky, more grip for muddy
• Don't try new shoes on race day!

Contingency Planning

Common issues & protocols

Blisters:

• Prevention: Pre-tape, change socks when wet, good-fitting shoes
• If blister forms: Stop at aid station, pop with sterile needle, drain, tape over
• Keep moving: Taped blister is painful but manageable

GI issues (nausea, cramping, diarrhea):

• Slow down: Reduce intensity, walk if needed
• Stop solid food: Switch to liquid nutrition (sports drink, cola)
• Ginger/antacid: Ginger chews or Tums can help nausea
• If persistent: Walk, sip water, give gut rest (10-20 min)
• Prevention: Gut training (see race-nutrition skill)

Chafing:

• Prevention: Lube before race, reapply at crew stops
• If occurs: Apply more lube immediately, adjust clothing/vest straps
• Emergency: Band-aids or tape over raw areas

Getting lost/off course:

• Stop immediately when unsure: Don't continue hoping you'll find the way
• Backtrack: Return to last known marker/flag
• Check GPS/map: Verify position before continuing
• Ask other runners: If you see them, follow or confirm direction
• Alert race: Report missing markers if found

Cramping:

• Cause: Usually electrolyte imbalance or over-exertion
• Protocol: Slow down, stretch gently, consume salt/electrolytes
• Prevention: Adequate sodium intake (300-600 mg/h), don't surge pace

Bonking (severe energy depletion):

• Recognize early: Sudden fatigue, dizziness, confusion, irrational thoughts
• Protocol: Stop, sit, consume fast-acting CHO (cola, gels), wait 10-15 min
• Recovery: Will take 20-30 min to feel better, then very conservative pace
• Prevention: Consistent fueling from start (don't wait until hungry)

When to push through vs when to stop

Push through (with caution):

• General fatigue (normal for ultra)
• Blisters (if taped and manageable)
• Minor aches (DOMS, muscle soreness)
• Dark moments (psychological)
• "This is harder than I expected" (welcome to ultra running)

Stop immediately:

• Chest pain, difficulty breathing (cardiac concern)
• Severe dehydration (no urination for 6+ hours, dark urine, confusion)
• Hyponatremia symptoms (nausea, headache, swelling, confusion after drinking a lot)
• Acute injury (twisted ankle, fall with sharp pain)
• Heat stroke (no sweating, confusion, core temp >40°C)

Gray area (assess carefully):

• Persistent nausea >2 hours despite slowing + changing nutrition
• Pain that changes gait significantly (could worsen injury)
• Sleep deprivation hallucinations (common in 100-milers, but if severe/dangerous, consider DNF)

Pre-Race Logistics

Race week protocol

7 days before race:

• Final taper week (see periodization-coach skill)
• Finalize gear list, test all equipment
• Review course maps, elevation profiles
• Plan drop bags (if applicable)

3-4 days before:

• Begin carb-loading (8-12 g/kg/day, see race-nutrition skill)
• Reduce fiber (avoid GI issues)
• Stay hydrated
• Avoid new foods

1 day before:

• Race check-in, bib pickup
• Course reconnaissance (if feasible): drive/view key sections
• Lay out all gear, check mandatory items
• Eat familiar high-CHO dinner (not excessive)
• Early bed (sleep 2 nights before matters more than night before)

Race morning:

• Pre-race meal 3-4h before start (see race-nutrition skill)
• Arrive at start 60-90 min early (parking, gear check, bathroom, warm-up)
• Body marking (bib, timing chip)
• Final gear check
• Warm-up: 10-15 min easy jog + dynamic stretches

Course reconnaissance

If possible (day before):

• Drive key sections (aid station locations, major climbs/descents)
• Note landmarks (helps with mental checkpoints during race)
• Check footing (rocky? muddy? technical?)

Use elevation profile:

• Identify major climbs (where you'll slow/hike)
• Note steep descents (where quads will take beating)
• Plan mental segments around profile

Crew & pacer coordination

Crew protocol (if you have crew):

• Designate crew chief (one person in charge, not committee)
• Crew meets you at designated aid stations with gear ready
• Pre-planned: What you'll need at each stop (written list)
• Crew keeps you moving: "5-minute timer" approach
• Crew provides positivity: "You look great!" (even if you don't)

Pacer protocol (if allowed):

• Pacer joins at designated mile (often mile 50-60 for 100-milers)
• Pacer's job: Keep you moving, navigate, positive energy, make decisions if you're bonking
• Brief pacer before race: Your pacing plan, nutrition strategy, what helps you mentally
• Pacer runs slightly ahead/beside (not behind) to lead

If no crew/pacer:

• Self-sufficient strategy: More gear in drop bags
• Make friends on course: Other runners can help with morale
• Aid station volunteers: Ask for help when needed (they want you to succeed)

Integration with Other Skills

Cross-references

For race-day nutrition strategy:

• See race-nutrition skill for detailed fueling protocols, gut training, hydration targets

For pre-race training (final weeks):

• See periodization-coach skill for taper protocols, final hard workouts, B2B long runs

For recovery after race:

• See athlete-monitoring skill for post-race recovery protocols, red flags to watch for

For injury concerns during race:

• See kinesiology-foundations skill for injury assessment, when to stop vs push through

Methodological Sources

Ultrarunning Training Essentials (Jason Koop, 2nd Ed.)

• Pacing strategies: CH.7 (Race Execution)
• Aid station efficiency: CH.7 (Race Execution)
• Mental strategies: CH.9 (Mental Aspects)
• Gear setup: CH.8 (Equipment)
• Reference: knowledge/Ultrarunning Training Essentials.txt

Training for the Uphill Athlete (House, Jornet, Johnston)

• Mountain-specific pacing: Uphill/downhill tactics
• Mental preparation: CH.12 (Mental Training)
• Reference: knowledge/Training for the Uphill Athlete.txt

Practical ultra racing experience (synthesis)

• DNF decision framework: Synthesis from race reports, coaching experience
• Contingency protocols: Common issues and proven solutions

Key Takeaways

1. Pace conservatively early: 90% of ultra runners start too fast; don't be one of them
2. Efficiency matters: Every minute at aid station = 3+ minutes on course
3. Dark moments pass: Expected at mile 30-40, 50-65, 80-90; protocol is: eat, slow down, wait
4. Gear must be tested: Never try new shoes, nutrition, or equipment on race day
5. Mental game is real: Race segmentation and positive self-talk prevent DNFs
6. Safety first: DNF if dangerous to long-term health; push through discomfort
7. Celebrate the journey: Every finish is a victory, regardless of time

Remember: "Train hard, race smart" - Tactics can make or break your race more than fitness.