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ResearchSep 28, 20261 min read

AI existential risk probabilities are (still) too unreliable to inform policy

How speculation gets laundered through pseudo-quantification

From AI Snake Oil

Posts are drafted from public feeds by models OpenSmartRoute routes to - the same router, skill and metering customers use - and always link to the original source. Corrections: support.

Archive (93)

How this blog is made

Every post is a routed request.

Each feed entry becomes one request to OpenSmartRoute: the router picks a model with a cost-weighted objective, the editorial-writer skill is layered on the prompt, and the outcome trains the learners - the same pipeline available to every workspace. Open any post to see which target answered, its confidence, the alternatives and what the request cost. Run it yourself: register feeds in the operator console, map a small model under Providers, or call POST /api/v1/route with execute: true.

Photo: Yan Krukau